Januar 29

Il doppio fondo di Bitcoin porta a un forte rimbalzo

  • Bitcoin ha creato una candela giornaliera bullish engulfing.
  • È stato respinto dall’area di resistenza di 33.800 dollari.
  • BTC è probabilmente nell’onda C di una struttura correttiva A-B-C.

Il prezzo del Bitcoin (BTC) è rimbalzato significativamente il 28 gennaio, creando una candela engulfing rialzista e raggiungendo un massimo di 33.783 dollari.

Ci si aspetta che il Crypto Cash riprenda il suo movimento verso l’alto fino a raggiungere i 35.130 dollari.

Bitcoin si scontra con la resistenza

Bitcoin ha iniziato un considerevole movimento verso l’alto il 28 gennaio, creando una candela rialzista che ha completamente inghiottito la candela ribassista precedente. Questo ha anche completato un modello a doppio fondo rispetto ai minimi del 22 gennaio.

Tuttavia, il BTC è stato respinto dall’area di resistenza di 33.800 dollari (livello di ritracciamento 0,382 Fib). Se dovesse verificarsi un breakout, la prossima area di resistenza si troverebbe a 39.960 dollari.

Gli indicatori giornalieri sono fermamente ribassisti, mettendo in dubbio la possibilità di un breakout. Il grafico a sei ore mostra il modello a doppio fondo completato, che è stato combinato con una significativa divergenza rialzista nell’RSI e nel MACD.

Conteggio dell’onda di BTC

Il conteggio delle onde suggerisce che BTC si trova ora nell’onda C (mostrata in arancione qui sotto) di una struttura correttiva piatta A-B-C.

Il movimento verso l’alto che completa quest’onda dovrebbe terminare a:

  • $35.390 – Dando alle onde A:C un rapporto 1:1
  • $39.131 – Dando alle onde A:C un rapporto di 1:1,61

Il primo obiettivo si adatta anche alla linea di resistenza di un canale parallelo ascendente, quindi potrebbe essere leggermente più probabile che venga raggiunto. Il conteggio delle sotto-onde (nero) suggerisce che il BTC ha completato le prime tre onde di un impulso rialzista che crea l’onda C.

Una volta che il BTC scende sotto la sub-onda 1 a 31.928 dollari, il movimento verso l’alto sarà probabilmente finito. Dopo che l’onda C è stata completata, ci si aspetta un’altra mossa al ribasso.

Conclusione

Ci si aspetta che Bitcoin riprenda a salire fino a raggiungere la resistenza a 35.390 dollari e forse 39.130 dollari, prima di iniziare un altro movimento al ribasso.

Januar 27

Bullish sign for BTC? US banks start bashing bitcoin again

Bullish sign for BTC? US banks start bashing bitcoin again

Some US banks are starting to criticise Bitcoin again – even though many another has warmed to the asset over the past year.

Bitcoin’s notorious price swings are known to polarise. The asset, like most other cryptocurrencies, can move by several percentage points in a single day – a stomach-churning experience for those who use BTC as an „investment“ and are otherwise used to trading in pebbles.

Such movements may not affect the average crypto investor with Bitcoin Storm a total holding of less than $10,000. However, when that scale reaches millions of dollars, it is either risk-averse hedge funds or individuals who take the BTC plunge.

Last year, as BTC moved from under $4,000 to over $41,000, banks and financial institutions talked a lot about Bitcoin as a single macro hedge or even an alternative to gold.

Banks such as JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley (although known as Bitcoin sceptics) believe the asset class is likely to attract „hundreds of billions of dollars“ in the coming years.

Wealth management firm Fidelity estimates that family offices will eventually start buying and hoarding Bitcoin (Go to Buy Bitcoin Cheap Guide). And mutual fund giant MassMutual invested over $100 million in BTC last year, calling it a „first step“ towards possible future plans.

But despite the recent jubilation, some banks seem to be keeping their views on Bitcoin in line with the asset’s price movements: The recent price crash in recent weeks has led some banks to restart their bitcoin-bashing.

The FUD returns

According to a report released last week by Bank of America, Bitcoin remains an overvalued asset – the „most crowded trade“ in current times. The bank even says bitcoin is in a bigger „bubble“ than most tech stocks – which have had their own run in the last year, with electric car maker Tesla going from under $200 in 2019 to over $800.

Then came a survey commissioned by Deutsche Bank in which 90% of respondents said the „most extreme“ bubble was bitcoin, with 50% of all survey respondents giving it the maximum score of 10 on a scale of 1 to 10 for bubbles.

In terms of a long-term outlook, respondents said both Bitcoin (and stocks like Tesla) were more likely to halve in price than double.

Such outlooks came despite an expected 92% higher global inflation next year – a record high that Bitcoin is expected to hedge against – with 71% of respondents saying the US Federal Reserve will continue to print more money to allow markets to grow further.

The latest of these warnings came yesterday. Economists at UBS had told their clients that Bitcoin was not even a real currency. UBS economist Paul Donovan:

„People are unlikely to want to use something as a currency if they have absolutely no certainty about what they can buy with it tomorrow“

Januar 27

Bitcoin is no riskier than bonds or precious metals

Anthony Scaramucci: Bitcoin is no riskier than bonds or precious metals

Bitcoin has become a viable option for long-term investors seeking refuge from inflation, said Anthony Scaramucci of SkyBridge Capital

Anthony Scaramucci, founder of SkyBridge Capital and former White House communications director, believes Bitcoin’s (BTC) value proposition has strengthened significantly now that Crypto Revolt governments have addressed many of the risks associated with the digital asset.

In an editorial published on CNN, Scaramucci and fellow SkyBridge executive Brett Messing argue that Bitcoin has become a viable option for long-term investors seeking refuge from inflation. The authors also say that holding Bitcoin is much less risky today than it was a few years ago, when regulation and infrastructure were still underdeveloped.

Bitcoin’s growth, according to the article’s authors, has „caused the government and institutions to step in and address many of the risks associated with digital currency,“ referring to the Office of the Comptroller of Currency’s decision to allow banks to provide crypto services.

The two entrepreneurs continued:

„Increased regulation, improved infrastructure and access to financial institutions that hold investors‘ money, such as Fidelity, have made investing in Bitcoin as safe as owning bonds and commodities such as gold, which are also used to balance portfolios.“

SkyBridge Capital made headlines last month after filing an application with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to start a hedge fund on Bitcoin.

The SkyBridge Bitcoin Fund LP was launched a few weeks later, with Fidelity providing custodian services and Ernst & Young handling the audit

SkyBridge invested in Bitcoin between November and December, managing to accumulate a large exposure to the digital asset before the most explosive phase of growth began. At the time of the fund’s launch on 4 January, SkyBridge said its exposure to BTC was worth about $310m.

In 2020 BTC grew 300%, and certainly institutional capital was one of the main catalysts for the rally, culminating in a new ATH near $42,000 on 8 January 2021. So-called „smart money“ investors are starting to see Bitcoin as a form of digital gold, but one that can appreciate much more than precious metals.

Januar 15

Deutsche Börse’s BTCE exchange-traded product has grown to the level of

The trading volume of the first Bitcoin-based exchange-traded product with central clearing, BTCetc Bitcoin Exchange Traded Crypto (BTCE), has risen to the level of popular European index funds. This was reported by the Financial Times.

During the first 11 days of January, the average daily turnover Crypto Bull of the instrument listed on Deutsche Börse was €57 million.

Bitcoin-ETP’s turnover is comparable to the popular iShares Global Clean Energy UCITS ETF (INRG) index fund and far exceeds that of the other 1,800 exchange-traded products on Deutsche Börse.

„The BTCE structure has increased the attractiveness of cryptocurrency investments for institutional investors who avoid unregulated platforms and non-traditional asset holding systems,“ said Deutsche Börse ETF segment head Stefan Kraus.

The exchange-traded product was issued by ETC Group, led by Bradley Duke.

„Institutions are actively adding bitcoin-based instruments to their portfolios to hedge the risk of devaluation of major currencies,“ Duke said.

On Wednesday, ETC Group floated bitcoin-backed exchange-traded notes (ETNs) denominated in dollars, pounds sterling and Swiss francs on the Swiss SIX.

VanEck and 21Shares also offer ETNs and ETPs on Deutsche Börse. The Swiss exchange lists 34 cryptocurrency exchange products from six issuers.

As a reminder, last October the UK Financial Services Authority banned the sale of cryptocurrency-based derivatives and exchange-traded notes to retail traders.

Januar 14

Divergence haussière, signal d’achat TD9 pour un nouveau rallye de secours Bitcoin

Le graphique Bitcoin sur 4 heures montre une divergence haussière et un achat de TD9, ce qui laisse espérer une hausse de l’aide.

Le prix du bitcoin (BTC) a fortement rebondi, passant de moins de 17 600 dollars à 18 400 dollars au cours des dernières 24 heures. Aujourd’hui, deux indicateurs techniques majeurs signalent la probabilité d’un plus grand rallye de secours.

Le graphique du prix de Bitcoin Bank sur 4 heures montre une divergence haussière tout comme il imprime un signal d’achat TD9. Ces deux indicateurs s’allument généralement lorsqu’un actif connaît une forte baisse et que la pression de vente s’épuise.

La vente de Bitcoin pourrait s’essouffler

La divergence haussière sur 4 heures et le signal d’achat TD9 sont conceptuellement similaires dans la mesure où ils apparaissent après une forte correction.

Une divergence haussière est un schéma technique qui tourne autour de l’indice de force relative (RSI). Le RSI est un indicateur de momentum qui évalue si un actif est suracheté ou survendu.

Le RSI a une échelle de 0 à 100 ; moins de 35 signifie qu’un actif est survendu et plus de 75 signifie qu’un actif est suracheté. Si le RSI tombe en dessous de 35 et qu’il commence à se redresser avec un actif, une divergence haussière apparaît.

Scott Melker, un trader de cryptocurrences, a déclaré que le graphique du prix de Bitcoin sur 4 heures montrait une divergence haussière alors que le prix se remettait au-dessus de 18 150 $. Il a déclaré :

„Nous savons tous que nous avons une belle divergence haussière confirmée de survente avec le RSI. Le RSI pousse actuellement contre une résistance descendante. S’il passe, le prix devrait suivre. Je n’ai pas l’intention de fermer mon position longue pour l’instant.“
Comme Cointelegraph l’a déjà signalé, Bitcoin a subi une forte pression à la vente de la part des baleines et des mineurs au cours de la semaine dernière. En conséquence, le prix BTC a fortement chuté au cours des deux derniers jours, entraînant une forte survente sur des périodes plus courtes, par exemple sur le graphique de 4 heures.

Un trader pseudonyme connu sous le nom de „CryptoISO“ a souligné que le signal d’achat du TD9 est indicatif d’une vente excessive.

Le TD9, abréviation de Tom Demark 9, est un indicateur qui mesure également si un actif est suracheté ou survendu, comme le RSI. Un signal d’achat TD9 apparaît lorsque les neuf dernières bougies sont toutes inférieures aux quatre bougies précédentes.

Par exemple, disons que le prix de Bitcoin a été inférieur à 19 000 dollars au cours des 36 dernières heures. Si la bougie de 4 heures qui a fermé il y a 52 heures était supérieure à 19 000 $, elle allumerait un signal d’achat TD9.

La combinaison de la divergence haussière de 4 heures et du signal d’achat TD9 indique que Bitcoin a été fortement sur-vendu au cours des trois derniers jours.

Quelle est la prochaine étape ?

Comme l’a rapporté Cointelegraph, les groupes de baleines montrent 17 170 $ et 17 700 $ comme niveaux de soutien majeurs. Par conséquent, tant que Bitcoin reste stable au-dessus de ces deux niveaux, les chances d’une reprise continue restent élevées.

Un autre facteur haussier au-dessus des deux niveaux de soutien des groupes de baleines est l’offre croissante de Tether (USDT), dont la capitalisation boursière avoisine maintenant les 20 milliards de dollars.

Sur les principales bourses de Bitcoin, comme Binance par exemple, les investisseurs stockent souvent les capitaux mis de côté en USDT plutôt qu’en espèces, car cela leur permet de reprendre rapidement des positions. L’augmentation continue de l’offre en USDT est un signe positif de la confiance croissante envers Bitcoin.